Olimpia vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 0
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
RES
0 - 3
OLI
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
OLI
27%
24%
50%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
EST
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
PAT
19%
29%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAT
19%
28%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
CAG
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |