Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
OLI
28%
25%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 2
AME
77%
15%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |