Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 1
OLI
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
6 - 0
AME
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
7 - 1
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 3
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 2
EME
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 2
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -3 |