Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CDN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 5
LQE
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |