Olimpia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
OLI
34%
29%
38%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 4
OLI
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LQE
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
RÑU
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |