Intercontinental Final
Global 3-1
Olimpia vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
MFF
0 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1979 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
MFF
0 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
MFF
1 - 1
FEY
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ELF
3 - 1
MFF
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
FEY
4 - 0
MFF
78%
16%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
MFF
1 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |