Olimpia vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAC
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
12O
0 - 1
OLI
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
OLI
3 - 1
CCC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
OLI
2 - 2
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ENC
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
AME
1 - 0
LIG
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
COR
6 - 0
LIG
86%
10%
5%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
LIG
0 - 1
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
LIG
1 - 0
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIG
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |