Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
8º
3º
48
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 2
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LQE
0 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
JLM
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LIB
5 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |