Olimpia vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CRZ
4 - 1
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1976 |
OLI
2 - 2
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
SCI
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
OLI
2 - 3
LQE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
LQE
0 - 1
SCI
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SCI
0 - 2
CRZ
54%
27%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
SCI
3 - 0
LQE
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
SCI
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CRZ
5 - 4
SCI
51%
27%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |