Olimpia vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CCP
4 - 1
OLI
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
RÑU
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
OLI
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 1
IND
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
LQE
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |