Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
1º
15
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 39 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 34 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 34 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 19 |
12º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
51% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
OLI
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 2
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
2DE
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SPT
0 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |