Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 3
GUA
23%
22%
56%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |