Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 1
OLI
27%
27%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 3
LQE
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 1
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 2
OLI
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CER
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |