Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
OLI
4 - 2
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
OLI
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
JWI
0 - 2
OLI
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 4
GUA
61%
25%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |