Olimpia vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
5º
24
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
FLA
19%
22%
60%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 3
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CNA
0 - 3
GUA
4%
12%
84%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | +1 |