Olimpia vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 0
RÑU
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
GEN
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
LQE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |