Olimpia vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AME
4 - 4
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 5
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 2
RÑU
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 0
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 2
GEN
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
CCP
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +2 |