Olimpia vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
1º
16
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 40 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 32 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 27 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
55.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 3
LQE
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 3
OLI
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
2DE
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 2
JLM
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 4
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 1
JLM
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
SPT
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |