Olimpia vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
OLI
1 - 0
MUN
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
0 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 2
OLI
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
AME
0 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
MUN
0 - 2
MEL
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
3 - 2
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
0 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUN
64%
19%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |