Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-1
Olimpia vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 3
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLM
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
EME
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
EME
1 - 2
BSC
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
EME
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |