Olimpia vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
RÑU
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 0
UCH
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NOB
3 - 1
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 0
LAR
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 1
NOB
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ZUL
1 - 1
LAR
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
UCH
2 - 0
LAR
62%
20%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |