Olimpia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 1
OLI
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
4 - 0
BVS
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |