Olimpia vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
CCP
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
OLI
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 2
12O
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
LQE
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |