Olimpia vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
1º
18
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 33 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 23 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
60% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
AME
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
2DE
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 0
SPT
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
2DE
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |