Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
1º
29
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
JLM
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
JLM
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 0
CCP
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 3
2DE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |