Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 4
FLA
13%
20%
68%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
DPR
0 - 6
OLI
1%
4%
95%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
12O
1 - 3
OLI
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
CCP
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 2
CCP
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |