Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
SAO
4 - 1
OLI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLI
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
VEL
1 - 1
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAO
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
OLI
0 - 1
FLA
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 0
CCP
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 1
OPE
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |