Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
45%
30%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
48%
29%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
RIV
1 - 0
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 1
OLI
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
COB
0 - 2
CCP
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
CCP
1 - 1
COB
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
RIV
1 - 1
CCP
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |