Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
CRZ
3 - 0
OLI
43%
29%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
CRZ
53%
27%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
54%
27%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1989 |
SCI
2 - 3
OLI
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
OPE
2 - 2
CCP
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |