Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
OPE
1 - 0
OLI
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1988 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1988 |
RIV
4 - 0
OLI
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
OLI
2 - 0
RIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
OPE
2 - 2
CCP
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1988 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
MIL
0 - 2
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |