Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 1
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1981 |
OLI
0 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1980 |
OLI
2 - 0
OHI
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
CCP
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 1
ATM
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
5 - 2
CCP
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
OHI
0 - 0
CCP
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |