Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1975 |
CEN
1 - 1
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1975 |
OLI
2 - 0
NOB
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1975 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
0 - 2
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1975 |
CCP
0 - 1
NOB
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 1
CCP
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1975 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |