Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1970 |
CSD
4 - 4
OLI
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
UCH
2 - 1
OLI
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
OLI
5 - 1
CAL
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
54%
20%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
COL
1 - 0
CCP
69%
17%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
UNI
0 - 0
CCP
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1971 |
GUA
2 - 2
CCP
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
CCP
0 - 0
COL
51%
21%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1971 |
CCP
2 - 1
UNI
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |