Olimpia vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
OLI
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 3
EME
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
LAN
6 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CER
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |