Olimpia vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
OLI
2 - 1
AME
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
51%
28%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
OLI
52%
27%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
OLI
3 - 1
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
AME
5 - 0
NAC
53%
27%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
29%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |