Olimpia vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
62%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
CRZ
4 - 0
OLI
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
OLI
2 - 0
CRZ
55%
27%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAO
46%
30%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
SAO
2 - 1
OLI
55%
25%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
1 - 0
CFC
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 3
SPC
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIN
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |