Olimpia vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 1
LQE
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 2
BAN
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
GLP
1 - 2
CEN
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CEN
0 - 2
SLO
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
COL
2 - 2
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 2
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |