Olimpia vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
NOB
3 - 2
OLI
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1975 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1975 |
CEN
1 - 1
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1975 |
OLI
2 - 0
NOB
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1975 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
NOB
1 - 1
CEN
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
CCP
1 - 3
CEN
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 2
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FER
1 - 0
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1975 |
CEN
2 - 1
GLP
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |