Olimpia vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
68%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
OLI
20%
25%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
SLO
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
BAR
85%
12%
4%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 2
NOB
61%
23%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |