Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 5-5
Olimpia vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1989 |
AME
5 - 4
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COB
31%
32%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
COB
2 - 0
OLI
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
COL
2 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
BOC
1 - 2
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
3 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
EST
1 - 2
BOC
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
4 - 3
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
2 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |