Copa Libertadores Final
Global 2-0
Olimpia vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1979 |
GUA
1 - 1
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 2
OLI
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1979 |
CEN
1 - 1
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1979 |
ALB
1 - 0
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |