Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Olimpia vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
BSC
0 - 1
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
OLI
1 - 0
JUN
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
OLI
0 - 2
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 3
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
JUN
0 - 0
OLI
28%
27%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
BSC
0 - 1
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
0 - 0
BSC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
ALI
2 - 1
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
BSC
0 - 1
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
BSC
3 - 0
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |