Olimpia vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
OLI
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
OLI
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
JLM
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
NAC
19%
25%
57%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
TOL
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |