Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Olimpia vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
UCO
4 - 4
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1990 |
VAS
1 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAS
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
VAS
0 - 0
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
61%
20%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
CCP
0 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |