Olimpia vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
OLI
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 0
RÑU
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 0
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
13%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |