Olginatese vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PER
1 - 1
OLG
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 1
PSM
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
OLG
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 1
PIA
14%
22%
64%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
INV
1 - 1
OLG
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 0
VAR
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |