Olginatese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
OLG
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 1
VBE
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
OLG
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
OLG
2 - 1
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PSM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PIA
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |