Oleksandriya vs Vorskla Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
8º
2º
16
6º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
4 - 2
HKR
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
RYV
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HKR
0 - 1
PFC
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 0
PFC
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
VOR
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 0
VOR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 1
VOR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DYN
3 - 1
VOR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 0
RYV
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |