Oleksandriya vs Rukh Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
6º
3º
11
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 58 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 43 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 27 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
35% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 0
PFC
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
KOL
63%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
4 - 3
SHA
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rukh Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DYN
0 - 0
RYV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 0
RYV
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RYV
5 - 0
INH
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RYV
3 - 0
ZOR
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LNZ
3 - 1
RYV
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |