Oleksandriya vs Livyi Bereh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
3º
6
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
38% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 0
PFC
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
KOL
63%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
4 - 3
SHA
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LNZ
0 - 2
PFC
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
HKR
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
LIV
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 2
LIV
7%
13%
80%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |